Buying a house can be intimidating, especially when the real estate market changes so frequently and so quickly. It’s even more unsettling for homeowners who have to move out of necessity. In addition to making sure they’re able to buy a home, many qualified homebuyers wonder if they should buy a house in the present market.
It’s a complicated question with a complicated answer. While home prices are leveling out (even dropping in some markets), inventory is opening up, and competition is waning, interest rates remain extraordinarily high. However, more precipitously, making it easier to afford a living space that you could never afford to buy.
The longer you avoid buying a house, the harder it is to start. Despite the obstacles of the current market and the attractiveness of the rental market, it’s still a good time to buy a house.
Homeownership is one of the best ways to save money and grow your wealth. It’s one of the safer investments you can make as housing market values have steadily increased (with a couple notable exceptions) for the last 60 years. After a scorching increase in home prices during the COVID-19 pandemic, prices have dropped — only to continue increasing at a more steady rate. With little expected to change in the next two years, now is a good time to buy a house and start building home equity when prices are still in a dip.
But before you begin the process, ensure you’re ready to reap the benefits of homeownership. Here’s how to tell if you’re ready to buy:
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The market is evolving. The impact of the changing real estate landscape comes down to the circumstances of the individual homebuyer and seller. The answer to whether or not now is a good time to buy a house depends on who you are:
Buyers waiting for prices to drop will be disappointed to learn that Fannie Mae projects that to take some time. The mortgage giant projects housing prices to increase by as much as in 2024, before tapering to a 0.4% decrease by Q4 2025.
While mortgage rates are projected to decrease slightly, the increases in home values will result in a market that largely emulates the current one. Homeowners currently locked into a lower rate still won’t have much incentive to buy unless other circumstances (a growing family, a job relocation, etc.) are motivating them to move.
The opposite is true for buyers who need to move out of necessity and are selling a home at the same time. Buyers in this situation risk losing home equity the longer they wait. While a new mortgage rate may be less punitive the longer they wait, increases in housing prices will offset that benefit. Additionally, homeowners who sell now but wait to buy will cut into their savings by paying rent when they could have been building equity in a new home.
Use our Home Sale Calculator to see how much you could lose if you wait to sell.
We all remember homebuying horror stories of bidding wars and waiving contingencies in a hyper-competitive market. One of the primary pain points for buyers during this time was existing homeowners with the financial security of their own home sale coming in with bigger cash offers and with a heavier appetite for risk.
With high mortgage rates, many homeowners are opting not to sell to stay locked into their preferential mortgages. The November 2023 National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) report showed the lowest builder sentiment since December 2022, meaning most builders see poor conditions for new construction in 2024. Between homesellers tightening the belt and a lack of new supply, inventory projects to be very tight.
While typically contribute to a seller’s market, they also mean there are far fewer buyers to compete with. As home prices even out
Heading into 2024, interest rates for a home loan are sitting around a national average above 7.5% for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage. This is a full percentage point above the same time last year, and one of the highest we’ve seen in recent years, but it’s still below the historical average of 7.77%.
While the has insisted it will raise rates to curb inflation, and there are signs that . That bodes well for mortgage rates in 2024 as they’re expected to dip from this Q4 2023 peak.
Instead of waiting for near-zero rates that will never come, buyers should use other strategies to lower their interest rates over the lifetime of their loan. Here’s how:
When you work with , you get no-fee refinancing for life. That means when interest rates drop, you can refinance your mortgage into a lower rate without having to pay the fees of traditional lenders.
With home values forecasted to modestly fall in 2024 and 2025 and the Federal Reserve vocally committed to raising interest rates until inflation is brought under control, the outlook of buying a home is unlikely to change dramatically in 2025 pending a major shift in executive policy. (Possible with 2024 being an election year.)
However, waiting another year to buy might be right for you if you can substantially increase your savings for a larger down payment, improve your credit score, or reduce your debt-to-income ratio. Each of these factors can impact the size and interest rate of your home loan, and make buying a home that much easier.
Still, the longer you wait, the longer you put off building equity in a home so if you feel financially and personally ready to buy a home, now is always the right time.
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